Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.018256 0.020119 0.021994 0.024018 0.026138 0.028287 0.030626
2025-06-15 0.014736 0.017628 0.020658 0.024047 0.027710 0.031532 0.035803
2025-06-22 0.012253 0.015678 0.019382 0.023637 0.028342 0.033347 0.039034
2025-06-29 0.010160 0.013886 0.018041 0.022928 0.028442 0.034403 0.041270
2025-07-06 0.008290 0.012154 0.016598 0.021951 0.028105 0.034857 0.042733
2025-07-13 0.007439 0.011534 0.016360 0.022275 0.029167 0.036810 0.045801
2025-07-20 0.006450 0.010651 0.015736 0.022086 0.029587 0.037994 0.047967
2025-07-27 0.005605 0.009873 0.015177 0.021920 0.029989 0.039120 0.050035
2025-08-03 0.005256 0.009709 0.015350 0.022610 0.031376 0.041357 0.053350
2025-08-10 0.004540 0.008987 0.014776 0.022352 0.031611 0.042243 0.055101
2025-08-17 0.003885 0.008290 0.014190 0.022045 0.031756 0.043000 0.056684
2025-08-24 0.003362 0.007732 0.013749 0.021890 0.032061 0.043926 0.058444
2025-08-31 0.002739 0.007002 0.013095 0.021512 0.032170 0.044717 0.060173
2025-09-07 0.002296 0.006512 0.012753 0.021536 0.032789 0.046139 0.062679
2025-09-14 0.001800 0.005854 0.012126 0.021150 0.032867 0.046892 0.064379
2025-09-21 0.001314 0.005114 0.011321 0.020482 0.032557 0.047152 0.065475
2025-09-28 0.000867 0.004323 0.010369 0.019563 0.031888 0.046945 0.065990
2025-10-05 0.000715 0.004125 0.010314 0.019867 0.032782 0.048639 0.068768
2025-10-12 0.000513 0.003740 0.009929 0.019689 0.033034 0.049534 0.070579
2025-10-19 0.000353 0.003392 0.009575 0.019533 0.033300 0.050435 0.072389
2025-10-26 0.000308 0.003377 0.009780 0.020183 0.034628 0.052656 0.075794
2025-11-02 0.000187 0.003032 0.009386 0.019940 0.034761 0.053377 0.077376
2025-11-09 0.000096 0.002696 0.008975 0.019651 0.034816 0.053992 0.078820